Monday, July 7, 2008

Buy Low/Sell High Trade Candidates July 7th (Brad Hawpe, Jerry Hairston)

Buy Low: Brad Hawpe

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.216

4.06

0.67

1.241

20.69%

2007

0.264

3.97

0.59

1.180

23.77%

2006

0.273

3.96

0.60

1.538

20.75%

Ever since he has come off the DL he has been on fire, hitting 9 HR and having an OPS of an even 1.000. Yet because he’s out in Colorado you don’t hear too much about him since he’s next to Holliday. The thing I like a lot is that his BABIP is a lot lower than his career average even though he’s being more patient at the plate. Also his HR/FB is in line with his career average so he appears to be a little unlucky right now. You can get him real cheap and I recommend him immediately.

Hawpe, Brad RF COL for Garko, Ryan 1B CLE

Hawpe, Brad RF COL for Doumit, Ryan C PIT

Hawpe, Brad RF COL for Byrnes, Eric CF ARI

Sell High: Jerry Hairston

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.367

3.79

0.46

2.000

6.67%

2007

0.208

3.77

0.46

1.462

7.69%

2006

0.233

3.83

0.38

1.886

0.00%

Noone can keep up a .367 BABIP throughout the year. Ever since he came off the DL he has been getting hits left and right and now is the perfect time to sell him high, especially since CIN will not be going anywhere and may potentially start trading away other players. Everything else is in line but that BABIP is just crazy. Hairston won’t be able to get you much in a one for one trade but package him in a deal and you could get a good haul.

Hairston, Jerry LF CIN and Nady, Xavier RF PIT for Guerrero, Vladimir RF ANA

Hairston, Jerry LF CIN and Taveras, Willy CF COL for Beltran, Carlos CF NYM

Hairston, Jerry LF CIN and Webb, Brandon SP ARI for Holliday, Matt LF COL and Penny, Brad SP LA

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