Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Buy Low/Sell High June 18th (Peralta/Thames)

Buy Low: Jhonny Peralta

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

QuickERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.200

3.78

3.17

1.545

20.00%

2007

0.252

3.93

4.14

1.711

17.36%

2006

0.248

4.12

4.00

1.624

10.40%

Jhonny’s BABIP is nowhere near his average and he’s much more aggressive at the plate seeing the lowest numbers of pitches/PA in 3 years. The general offense, which has been horrendous and can’t get much worse, should improve once Hafner comes back. Jhonny also has improved his HR rate the last 2 years.

Peralta, Jhonny SS CLE for Slowey, Kevin SP MIN

Peralta, Jhonny SS CLE for Bourn, Michael RF HOU

Peralta, Jhonny SS CLE for Betancourt, Yuniesky SS SEA

Sell High: Marcus Thames

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

QuickERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.187

3.86

1.40

0.806

33.33%

2007

0.207

3.60

1.38

1.203

28.13%

2006

0.228

4.04

0.87

0.676

25.49%

A lot of people are going to be trying to buy Thames because of his recent home run barrage and that’s why it’s the perfect time to sell him to someone. He’s someone who is incredibly streaky and his BABIP isn’t really different from his career average. Factor in the fact that the chances of him continuing the streak are extremely low, especially if people start to get healthy on that time. You can get real good value here and plug just about any hole in your team. Do you think a MLB player can hit 33% of all his FB for HR?? I don’t.

Thames, Marcus LF DET and Snell, Ian SP PIT for Haren, Dan SP ARI and Kotchman, Casey 1B ANA

Thames, Marcus LF DET for Suzuki, Ichiro CF SEA

Thames, Marcus LF DET and Lowrie, Jed SS BOS for Abreu, Bobby RF NYY

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