Tuesday, July 1, 2008

Buy Low/Sell High July 1st (Dukes/Smith)

Buy Low: Elijah Dukes

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.245

3.86

0.54

1.625

9.38%

2007

0.163

3.90

0.75

1.463

24.39%

2006

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The talent is there he just has to control his temper. Expect that his HR/FB would settle in around 15% and his GB/FB% to decrease some. Overall, he could get his head on straight and be a wonderful 20/20 guy.

Dukes, Elijah OF WAS for Arroyo, Bronson SP CIN

Dukes, Elijah OF WAS for Mora, Melvin 3B BAL

Dukes, Elijah OF WAS for Fuentes, Brian RP COL

Sell High: Greg Smith

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.278

1.760

27.3%

4.90

-1.211

16.45

4.02

2007

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2006

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Nothing above points to him maintaining the amount of success he had in the first half of the year, especially that low a k/BB ratio. Expect a regression to the mid 4’s in ERA. Finally look at the P/IP number almost 17. 17 * 6 IP is 102 pitches, so you’ll be lucky to get 6 Inning out of him right now.

Smith, Greg SP OAK for Myers, Brett SP PHI

Smith, Greg SP OAK for Pena, Carlos 1B TB

Floyd, Gavin SP CHW and Smith, Greg SP OAK for Lester, Jon SP BOS

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