Saturday, July 5, 2008

Buy Low/Sell High July 5th (Bedard/Atkins)

Buy Low: Erik Bedard

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.275

1.950

28.2%

4.56

-0.893

16.93

4.28

2007

0.287

3.88

33.54%

2.68

0.477

16.19

3.09

2006

0.314

2.48

28.23%

3.96

-0.197

16.80

3.59

Erik has probably disappointed many fantasy owners who were expecting a CY-Young season. Fortunately for you (if you don’t own him) he’s likely to be able to be bought for less than usual. The only thing that I find slightly concerning is his loss of control. He might have started to turn the corner and if so, he could be really help your team.

Bedard, Erik SP SEA for Bay, Jason LF PIT

Bedard, Erik SP SEA for Glaus, Troy 3B STL

Bedard, Erik SP SEA for Granderson, Curtis CF DET

Sell High: Garrett Atkins

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.315

3.54

0.36

1.129

12.90%

2007

0.288

3.90

0.70

0.971

14.62%

2006

0.309

3.82

1.04

1.037

15.34%

Garrett was a top prospect a couple of years ago but he has since run into down years and lofty expectations. This year he is doing fairly well with 50 RBIs and 12 HR but still not in the upper tier of 3B. He’s a candidate to get traded to most likely an underperforming team and also I don’t like some of the things I see above. He’s much less selective in his plate discipline and he’s also hitting less HR/FB yet more GB at the same time. I think this is a little lucky to have 12 HR right now so I’m going to recommend sell high, but only for the right price.

Atkins, Garrett 3B COL and Tulowitzki, Troy SS COL for Cabrera, Miguel 3B DET

Atkins, Garrett 3B COL and Harden, Rich SP OAK for Howard, Ryan 1B PHI

Atkins, Garrett 3B COL and Jackson, Conor 1B ARI for Fielder, Prince 1B MIL

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