Sunday, July 27, 2008

Buy Low/Sell High July 27th (Jeremy Hermida/Aubrey Huff)

Buy Low: Jeremy Hermida

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.245

4.01

0.37

1.357

17.86%

2007

0.275

4.00

0.45

1.674

20.22%

2006

0.253

3.99

0.47

1.778

7.94%

After disappointing way too many fantasy owners his first couple of years, he seems to have come into his own. I had him on my radar and was going to write about him today but he had to go out and hit 2 HR last night. Timing is everything they say. Anyways, it looks like what he is doing is legit this year. His discipline is at what they’re supposed to be and his BABIP is actually a little lower than normal. You might have been able to get him for a little cheaper but if you get him now you can still get him for a good price.

Hermida, Jeremy RF FLA for Floyd, Gavin SP CHW

Hermida, Jeremy RF FLA for Maddux, Greg SP SD

Hermida, Jeremy RF FLA for Wellemeyer, Todd SP STL

Sell High: Aubrey Huff

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.276

3.80

0.66

1.379

19.42%

2007

0.277

3.66

0.55

1.535

10.56%

2006

0.249

3.73

0.78

1.589

18.75%

Aubrey has shown some surprising power so far this year and may have been a surprise for several owners. Everything seems to be about average above but there is still a large part of me that just doesn’t believe he can continue this. He’s hasn’t had an OPS over 800 in 3 years but this year in his age 32 season, he’s putting up an OPS of almost 900. HIS OPS+ (courtesy of baseball-reference) is 133+. He hasn’t been at that level since 2002 and 2003. His EQA (baseballprospectus) is .293 where he hasn’t been at this level since 2002. You can get a pretty decent haul for him right now.

Huff, Aubrey 1B BAL for Teixeira, Mark 1B ATL

Huff, Aubrey 1B BAL for Bay, Jason LF PIT

Huff, Aubrey 1B BAL for Hawpe, Brad RF COL and Pena, Carlos 1B TB

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