Buy Low/Sell High --May 30th

Buy Low: Andrew Miller

Key Stats:

W	L	SV		IP	H	ER		HR	BB	SO		ERA	WHIP
4	4	0		55.3	70	34		4	23	46		5.53	1.681
BABIP			K/BB				PTO%				QuickERA
0.379			2.000				25.4%				4.595

One of the prizes in the Miguel Cabrera sweepstakes, Andrew started off the year extremely poorly. He didn’t have good command nor did he have any luck. His lack of luck has carried on through the season to the tune of .379 BABIP. Very very very few pitchers ever end up with a BABIP that high and those that do usually end up in the minors. I highly doubt this will happen. Andrew is simply too good. His qERA is a full run better than what it is and if you take all those extra hits from the BABIP and factor in having to throw extra pitches because of them, his WHIP is likely around 1.50. Still horrendous but in the last 4 games he has given up 26 baserunners in 23.3 IP while striking out 25. So including his latest start in which he got bombed his WHIP in the last 4 games is 1.15, his K/BB is 3.125, and his K/9 is 9.65. Those are the numbers that you have to look at and those numbers will help any fantasy team.

You can get him hopefully on the wire but if not you can look at these possible trades:

Miller, Andrew SP FLA for Encarnacion, Edwin 3B CIN

Miller, Andrew SP FLA for Hawpe, Brad RF COL

Miller, Andrew SP FLA for Sanchez, Jonathan O. RP SF

Sell High: Dan Uggla

Key Stats: 

G	AB	R		H	2B	3B		HR	RBI		SB	BB	SO		BA	OBP
51	192	41		59	19	1		16	38		2	23	58		0.307	0.39
BABIP			BB/SO				P/PA			GB/FB				HR/FB
0.364			0.40				4.10			0.772				28.07%

Ok look I know this might be sacrilegious to some who like to ride the streaks but let me ask you this. How long do you think he can keep up those stats. How many hitters can hit 28% of all FB for HR or walk as little as he does or have such a high BABIP play out over the season. Personally I don’t. Hitters tend to regress to their career levels over the year. Historically his BABIP was .292 in 2006 and .286 in 2007. To jump that much and keep it over the whole season is insane. And just for the sake of thoroughness, his HR/FB was 15.9% in 2006 and 18.3% in 2007. Great streak right now yes, but life-changing approach at the plate. No. Here’s what you can get for him:

Uggla, Dan 2B FLA for Upton, B.J. CF TB

Uggla, Dan 2B FLA for Beckett, Josh SP BOS

Uggla, Dan 2B FLA for Santana, Johan SP NYM

Uggla, Dan 2B FLA for Papelbon, Jonathan RP BOS