Buy Low/Sell High June 12th (Harang, Damon)

Slightly different format with these. Each players' stats value is really dependent on each individual fantasy league, so with this, we'll focus on which direction the players will go from here. Hope you enjoy and if you have any recommendations or general suggestions, please let me know.

Buy Low: Aaron Harang

Key Stats:

Pitcher:	BABIP	K/BB	PTO%	QuickERA	ERA Dif	P/IP
Hitter:	BABIP	P/PA	BB/SO	GB/FB	HR/FB
2008	0.332	4.100	29.5%	3.847	0.463	16.06
2007	0.292	4.19	31.51%	3.375348	0.355	15.49
2006	0.326	3.86	30.34%	3.56021	0.200	15.96

Aaron for the most part has had a little bad luck this year. You can see though by these stats that he will likely turn it around. First off, his BABIP is elevated and everything else looks good too. The increase in P/IP is likely due to the increased BABIP (more hits that fall in means more pitches that you have to throw that inning) as is the PTO% (same reason). His k/bb is in line with last years though and his qERA shows that he has been unlucky to the tune of about a half a run on his ERA. Many people are down on his because of his record, but that just means you have a good buying opportunity.

Harang, Aaron SP CIN for Colon, Bartolo SP BOS

Harang, Aaron SP CIN for Pence, Hunter CF HOU

Harang, Aaron SP CIN for Gordon, Alex 3B KC

Sell High: Johnny Damon

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:	BABIP	K/BB	PTO%	QuickERA	ERA Dif	P/IP
Hitter:	BABIP	P/PA	BB/SO	GB/FB	HR/FB
2008	0.330	3.98	2.53	1.940	12.00%
2007	0.276	4.31	1.98	2.171	11.43%
2006	0.289	4.10	1.40	1.603	17.65%

Johnny has gotten a lot of press this past week about his 6/6 game with 4 RBIs because 1) he’s a Yankee 2) one of those hits was a walk off. Here’s what I see in my analysis. He hasn’t had a HR in a week. The only RBIs in the past week came in that one game. He’s cooled off considerably already as well.

When you evaluate all of these statistics as a group, you see that more hits have fallen in play than should have. But he is seeing the least amount of pitches per plate appearance in a while while walking more and hitting more FB than usual. So more hits fall, less P/PA, higher BB/SO, higher FB means that pretty much everything in the zone he is swinging at. So while normally you like seeing more BB/SO, I don’t think so in this case. You want him to put the ball in play and hit line drives. He’s too old to put the ball on the ground and leg out a base hit but you don’t want him to put the ball in the air either.

Because of this little predicament, sell him for these:

Damon, Johnny CF NYY for Wilson, C.J. RP TEX

Damon, Johnny CF NYY for Dunn, Adam LF CIN

Damon, Johnny CF NYY for Sheets, Ben SP MIL