Friday, June 13, 2008

Buy Low/Sell High June 13th(Konerko/Garza)

Buy Low: Paul Konerko

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

QuickERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.202

3.80

2.27

1.673

16.33%

2007

0.234

3.93

1.86

1.166

20.53%

2006

0.288

3.90

2.68

0.947

20.59%

Paul hasn’t had much luck recently. His BABIP isn’t in line with even his bad year last year. He’s seeing a lot of pitches and has improved his BB/SO ratio from last year. One big thing that I see is that he’s hitting a lot more GB than usual AND less HR/FB than usual. These two stats typicall regress to career averages, so I expect a correct fairly soon with this. Overall Paul is one of those players that will make or break your season.

Konerko, Paul 1B CHW for Griffey, Ken RF CIN

Konerko, Paul 1B CHW for Olsen, Scott SP FLA

Konerko, Paul 1B CHW for Myers, Brett SP PHI

Sell High: Matt Garza

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

QuickERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.268

1.360

24.7%

5.476

-1.096

16.63

2007

0.351

2.09

26.34%

4.379292841

-0.689

17.52

2006

0.346

1.65

25.34%

5.15629648

0.604

17.84

Matt gets a decent amount of publicity due to his strikeout numbers and his well publicized trade with Delmon Young. The problem is that he’s simply just not ready to be consistent enough for your fanasy team. HIS BABIP is a little low and look at those horrible other stats. A K/BB, PTO%, and qERA of that level simply won’t get it done. Elite pitchers have P/IP around 14-15 (that’ll put you around 7-8IP in a game). Getting rid of him from your team will allow the ERA angels to rejoice.

Garza, Matt SP TB for Stewart, Ian 3B COL

Garza, Matt SP TB for Crede, Joe 3B CHW

Buck, Travis OF OAK and Garza, Matt SP TB and Hurley, Eric SP TEX for Markakis, Nick RF BAL

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