Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Buy Low/Sell High June 24th (Guillen, Lohse)

Buy Low: Jose Guillen

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.275

3.58

3.00

1.609

17.39%

2007

0.278

3.56

2.26

1.817

17.56%

2006

0.202

3.60

1.79

1.197

13.64%

Jose is one of those quiet producers when healthy, much like Milton Bradley. All of his peripherals above suggest that this is for real and his production can be expected to stay the same. That would put him on pace for about 25-30 HR and 100RBIs, yet you never really know about him. He’s even getting more selective at the plate, which helps your OBP.

Guillen, Jose RF KC for Giles, Brian RF SD

Guillen, Jose RF KC for Johnson, Kelly 2B ATL

Guillen, Jose RF KC for Lohse, Kyle SP STL

Sell High: Kyle Lohse

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.279

1.910

25.0%

4.92

-1.285

15.75

2007

0.309

2.14

27.02%

4.84

-0.216

15.79

2006

0.345

2.20

27.39%

4.49

1.340

16.54

Kyle so far has been so extremely luck. Every single metric above says that he is average at best and is only helping in Wins. That however, as we all know, is the least reliable measure of the pitcher. His dominance is at an all time low and his ERA should be about 1.2 points higher than what it is. See if someone in your league is dumb enough/gullible enough to trade for him.

Lohse, Kyle SP STL for Fielder, Prince 1B MIL

Lohse, Kyle SP STL for Quentin, Carlos RF CHW

Lohse, Kyle SP STL for Crawford, Carl LF TB

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