Buy Low/Sell High June 28th (Nolasco, Litsch)

Buy Low: Ricky Nolasco

Key Stats:

Pitcher:	BABIP	K/BB	PTO%	qERA	ERA Dif	P/IP	FIP
Hitter:	BABIP	P/PA	BB/SO	GB/FB	HR/FB
2008	0.283	2.310	27.7%	4.73	-0.682	15.89	4.64
2007	0.343	1.22	24.61%	5.77	-0.294	16.38	5.42
2006	0.319	2.41	27.61%	4.54	0.284	15.99	4.54

Ricky’s numbers above are skewed by the horrible starts in the beginning of the year. Lately (the last 10 starts) he has been amazing going 7-1 with a 3.06 ERA and almost a 3-1 K:BB ratio and a WHIP a little above 1.15. I waited too long to get him and am paying for it dearly now. Florida is playing like they always do, surprisingly good, so he has a good chance to continue this.

Meche, Gil SP KC and Nolasco, Ricky SP FLA for Banks, Josh SP SD

Nolasco, Ricky SP FLA for Rauch, Jon RP WAS

Nolasco, Ricky SP FLA for Sonnanstine, Andy SP TB

Sell High: Jesse Litsch

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:	BABIP	K/BB	PTO%	qERA	ERA Dif	P/IP	FIP
Hitter:	BABIP	P/PA	BB/SO	GB/FB	HR/FB
2008	0.284	3.470	27.6%	4.27	-0.448	14.77	4.51
2007	0.279	1.39	24.45%	5.28	-1.467	15.95	4.94
2006	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A

Jesse has a great run in the middle of the year but since he has been up and down. The only good metric above is the K/BB ratio. Everything else is average at best and a FIP and qERA of above 4 is not very promising. After his latest good outing, I would look to move him.

Feldman, Scott RP TEX and Litsch, Jesse SP TOR for Drew, J.D. RF BOS

Litsch, Jesse SP TOR for Hudson, Tim SP ATL

Lilly, Ted SP CHC and Litsch, Jesse SP TOR for Holliday, Matt LF COL