Wednesday, June 25, 2008

Buy Low/Sell High June 25th (Doumit, Drew)

Buy Low: Ryan Doumit

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.317

3.77

2.44

1.282

23.08%

2007

0.265

3.90

2.53

1.577

17.31%

2006

0.189

3.84

1.64

1.700

20.00%

Ryan has quietly produced at the C position where people are always looking for production. With a BABIP right around the upper limit of the normal range, it appears that he’s due for at worst a very slight production. Each year he his BABIP has improved as well. Overall everything else looks good and indicative that his production will likely stay the same or better.

Doumit, Ryan C PIT for Kendrick, Howie 2B ANA

Doumit, Ryan C PIT for Weaver, Jered SP ANA

Doumit, Ryan C PIT for Kotchman, Casey 1B ANA

Sell High: J.D. Drew

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.287

4.16

2.21

1.237

23.73%

2007

0.268

3.94

2.54

1.642

10.38%

2006

0.270

3.97

2.38

1.700

18.18%

After a scorching June, J.D. has started to cool off lately. Looking at his HR/FB%, it doesn’t take a stretch of the imagination to think that he’ll start to regress back towards those 2006 levels. It appears that he has made a slight change in his approach that has him putting more emphasis on hitting the ball on the line or in the air, as his GB/FB ratio is now at a 3 year low. With his cooling off lately, the window may be starting to close. Those who drafted him as a 3rd OF should look to move him and fill another hole in the team.

Drew, J.D. RF BOS for Sheets, Ben SP

Drew, J.D. RF BOS for Papelbon, Jonathan RP BOS

Drew, J.D. RF BOS for Kazmir, Scott SP TB

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