Thursday, June 5, 2008

Buy Low/Sell High June 5th

Buy Low: Joe Crede

Key Stats:

G

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

BB

SO

BA

OBP

55

188

22

51

11

0

10

31

0

20

28

0.271

0.35

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

0.269

3.72

0.82

0.750

15.00%

Joe has quietly slipped under the radar and is on pace for a 30 HR and 100RBI. All of his peripherals are in line with his career averages so the numbers that he is producing are for real. I don’t see the lineup slowing down and he’s not even 100% owned in CBS leagues. If you need to trade for him, here are some sample ones from CBS:

Crede, Joe 3B CHW for Nady, Xavier RF PIT

Crede, Joe 3B CHW for Jacobs, Mike 1B FLA

Crede, Joe 3B CHW for Hudson, Orlando 2B ARI

Sell High: Gavin Floyd

Key Stats: 

W

L

SV

IP

H

ER

HR

BB

SO

ERA

WHIP

6

3

0

71

50

25

8

27

36

3.15

1.08

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

QuickERA

0.199

1.330

27.0%

5.460

Gavin had a string of great luck that is close to unprecedented. You can see how his qERA is 2.3 runs worse than his current ERA and how his BABIP of 0.199 simply cannot hold up. He had a couple great starts, including the near no hitter, but he is not this good. His W-L record is aided by the offense of Chicago and his k/bb ratio is nowhere near elite status. Expect him to regress and when he starts to regress it will be quick and painful to your fantasy team. Here’s what you might be able to get for him:

Drew, Stephen SS ARI and Floyd, Gavin SP CHW for Teixeira, Mark 1B ATL

Floyd, Gavin SP CHW and Konerko, Paul 1B CHW for Harang, Aaron SP CIN

Floyd, Gavin SP CHW and Sheets, Ben SP MIL for Sizemore, Grady CF CLE

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