Buy Low/Sell High Summary

My bi-weekly High/Low summary provided me with some surprises about the numbers.

First the Hitters:

	Buy	Sell
Hits	205	103
HR	36	14
AB	716	363
PA	817	416
OBA	0.353	0.361
BABIP	0.301	0.322
AB/HR	19.89	25.93
OPS	0.864	0.823
BB/SO	0.648	0.545
HR/FB	20.00%	20.59%

Well the numbers show that rate wise they are pretty similar, which kinda of shocked me. I like my overall numbers but again I thought that I did better than that. Looking it over I remembered I recommended Berkman and Uggla as a sell. Taking the those numbers out (I know, not really possible but it keeps my sanity.)

Buy		Sell
Hits	205	95
HR	36	4
AB	714	268
PA	815	551
OBA	0.360	0.227
BABIP	0.302	0.397
AB/HR	19.83	67.00
OPS	0.872	0.589
BB/SO	6.592	7.459
HR/FB	20.00%	8.70%

Quite a huge difference than the first chart. Eventually Berkman and Uggla will come back down to earth and if they don’t you would still be ok if you got a good haul for these guys. The numbers above would be even better if the BABIP wasn’t so high.

Now onto the pitchers:

	Buy	Sell
IP	136	212.7
Outs	408	638
Hits	158	216
Walks	58	78
WHIP	1.59	1.38
FIP	3.13	3.03
Strikeouts	105	153
k/9	6.95	6.47
K/BB	1.81	1.96
AB	560	852
BABIP	0.321	0.273

Another case of my Sells having better numbers than my Buys. This is starting to piss me off. Looking at it, it’s really just Dempster and Masterson killing me. Masterson has no business dominating like this and neither does Dempster

Dempster up to date:

BABIP	K/BB	PTO%	QuickERA	ERA Dif	P/IP
0.238	2.240	29.0%	4.03	-1.403	16.07
0.279	1.83	30.11%	4.47	0.265	15.44
0.324	1.86	26.67%	4.28	0.520	17.95

Masterson YTD

BABIP	K/BB	PTO%	QuickERA	ERA Dif	P/IP
0.207	1.520	29.0%	4.79	-1.358	15.62

So defying all logic, they are still getting great results. Their ERA should both be close to 1.40 higher than what it is.

For the sake of my sanity, removing those two and once again everything falls in line with my projections.

	Buy	Sell
IP	136	176.3
Outs	408	529
Hits	158	181
Walks	58	63
WHIP	1.59	1.38
FIP	3.13	3.05
Strikeouts	105	120
k/9	6.95	6.12
K/BB	1.81	1.90
AB	566	710
BABIP	0.317	0.271

That looks to be a little more like it. The deflated BABIP (at the very bottom of the normal range) really appears to helping that group out. Everyone should start to regress to where they are pretty soon and when that happens, I’ll be able to smile for once.