Showing posts with label C. Show all posts
Showing posts with label C. Show all posts

Saturday, August 2, 2008

By Low/Sell High August 2nd (Brandon Inge, Gil Meche)

Buy Low: Brandon Inge

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.200

4.08

0.46

1.204

18.37%

2007

0.231

4.24

0.31

1.281

12.28%

2006

0.235

4.13

0.34

1.250

19.29%

Now that Pudge is out of town, Inge is going to take over catching duties full time. He’s probably better than several options that many owners have out there. Even though his historical BABIP is low, it’s lower than normal but all of the other peripherals are normal. I think he’s better than many options out there but I definitely wouldn’t give up too much for him.

Inge, Brandon 3B DET for Span, Denard OF MIN

Inge, Brandon 3B DET for Aurilia, Rich 1B SF

Inge, Brandon 3B DET for Blanton, Joe SP PHI

Sell High: Gil Meche

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.296

2.300

26.5%

4.52

-0.299

16.99

3.97

2007

0.301

2.520

26.83%

4.23

-0.556

16.56

3.96

2006

0.298

1.86

26.44%

4.58

-0.100

17.67

4.57

Gil’s peripherals across the board are bad and it’s only time before everything will collapse. His latest string of good starts came at a time when all of the teams he was facing were struggling. Even though the BABIP is normal, all of the others are worse than last year. Again, not likely to get a kings ransom but you could easily get something to help you down the stretch run.

Meche, Gil SP KC for Pena, Carlos 1B TB

Drew, J.D. RF BOS and Meche, Gil SP KC for Webb, Brandon SP ARI

Meche, Gil SP KC and Pierzynski, A.J. C CHW for Shields, James SP TB

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Buy Low/Sell High July 22 (Ramon Hernandez, Glen Perkins)

Buy Low: Ramon Hernandez

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.229

3.63

0.53

1.440

12.00%

2007

0.251

3.71

0.61

1.727

10.23%

2006

0.260

3.70

0.54

1.500

17.97%

His BABIP is well below his norms even though everything else appears to be in line with his career averages. At this point in the game, counting stats are key and this is where he may help.

Hernandez, Ramon C BAL for Slowey, Kevin SP MIN

Hernandez, Ramon C BAL for DeRosa, Mark 2B CHC

Hernandez, Ramon C BAL for Bard, Josh C SD

Sell High: Glen Perkins

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.31

2.000

26.0%

5.13

-1.293

15.54

4.67

2007

0.273

1.670

29.26%

5.00

-1.856

15.02

4.08

2006

0.214

6.00

35.49%

2.34

-0.747

14.39

1.66

Glen has been somewhat surprising so far in that he has been getting by so far without truly dominant stuff. Unlike other pitchers without great stuff he doesn’t have that great control either as evidenced by his k/bb of only 2. He doesn’t get deep into games, his pitch efficiency is actually worsening, and his FIP is approaching a full run higher than his ERA. He’s someone who as a fantasy owner makes me nervous and personally I like knowing exactly what I’m getting from here on out.

Perkins, Glen RP MIN for Wood, Kerry RP CHC

Lyon, Brandon RP ARI and Perkins, Glen RP MIN for Cueto, Johnny SP CIN

Perkins, Glen RP MIN and Theriot, Ryan SS CHC for McCutchen, Andrew OF PIT

Sunday, July 6, 2008

Buy Low/Sell High July 6th (Sonnanstine/Posada)

Buy Low: Andy Sonnanstine

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.333

3.450

28.2%

4.25

0.057

15.11

3.47

2007

0.333

3.73

27.94%

4.05

1.797

16.05

4.13

2006

#N/A

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Time to face it, the Rays are not going anywhere and in large part due to its pitching staff. Andy has been a large part in this evidenced by his FIP of 3.47 and a K/BB ratio of almost 3.50. By having an P/IP of 15.11 it shows that he is efficient in his pitches, often able to get to the 7th inning on barely 100 pitches. He'll help both your WHIP and ERA and could make that difference at the end of the year.

Sonnanstine, Andy SP TB for Torres, Salomon RP MIL

Sonnanstine, Andy SP TB for Fuentes, Brian RP COL

Sonnanstine, Andy SP TB for Abreu, Bobby RF NYY

Sell High: Jorge Posada

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB



2008

0.275

3.77

0.64

1.049

7.32%



2007

0.324

3.83

0.76

1.302

15.50%



2006

0.255

3.72

0.67

1.133

17.97%



Posada has had a rough year between injuries and decreased production from years past. Something is causing his HR/FB ratio to drop like a rock and while I'm not 100% sure, I think it is his right shoulder or power shoulder for left-handed batters. The other thing to note is he's hitting more FB than ever while having the same aggressiveness. All of this leads me to recommend selling him on his name right now and picking up someone like Jeff Clement or Ryan Doumit who will give you the same if not better production. His BABIP is also well within the normal range, so you cannot reasonably expect a correction one way or another.

Posada, Jorge C NYY and Webb, Brandon SP ARI for Longoria, Evan 3B TB and McCann, Brian C ATL

Posada, Jorge C NYY for Dye, Jermaine RF CHW

Posada, Jorge C NYY for Burrell, Pat LF PHI