Pedro Pitch FX

I have a new Pitch FX article up at RotoSavants. Most of the graphs are over there but there is one that is too large to put over there.




The graph above shows how wildly his movement was on each pitch on each date. So it's not just one particular pitch that he doesn't have the "feel" for. He really doesn't have any feel for any of his pitches.

In Summary: Most of my analysis is over at RotoSavants but I don't think Pedro ever recovered from his shoulder injuries which given the nature of them doesn't surprise me at all. He was forced to try and reinvent himself from a power control pitcher to a contact pitcher because of his injuries. Back in the day he was consistently throwing in the mid to upper 90's and now he's releasing the ball at mid-80's at best and the ball gets to the plate at around 80 MPH. His stuff now doesn't differ all that much between pitches except for the curveball as expected. When the movement isn't as distinct between pitches, it makes it easier to hit the ball well. That's not good for a contact type pitcher.

Pedro's fall has been drastic in large part due to the injuries. Troy's analysis of him being an average pitcher at best is what I get as well, in fact I think he may be slightly worse than average according to Pitch FX.