Buy Low/Sell High May 23,2008

Buy Low: Mark Teixeira

Key Stats:

BA HR RBI OBP SLG ESPN-Own%

.275 5 26 .364 .439 100%

BABIP	P/PA	BB/SO	GB/FB	HR/FB
0.299	3.84	1.00	1.89	13.8889%

This may be a little too late but it stands mentioning that Mark very rarely starts to heat up this early into the season. This past week he has been on fire so the time is short in terms of being able to get him for a lower price. His BABIP is right in line with what it should be but he is being almost twice as selective at the plate. Normally he averages about 0.60 BB/SO so he is well above average there. Also he’s been hitting a lot more GB than before. Normally he sits around 0.90 GB/FB and hitting that many grounders eventually will regress back down to his normal. When he starts hitting more FB it means more HR. Also his HR/FB% has been historically around 18-20% so he has been a little unlucky in this area as well. Overall, I think he’s an excellent trade target right now.

Sell High: Scott Olsen

Key Stats: 

ERA     W-L     SO      WHIP    ESPN-Own%

2.82    4-1     27      1.17    84.9%

BABIP	BB/SO	PTO%	QERA
0.214	1.04	27.17%	6.178545

What can I say. These numbers say it all. He has been so extremely lucky it’s as if I went up there and managed to throw a few shutout innings. His BABIP is asinine right now and his dominance is way too low. To walk as many people as he has and still have an ERA under 3 is amazing. Looking at what his ERA should be you can see that it is over 3 runs worse. Unload him as soon as you can for anything remotely useful.