Friday, July 11, 2008

Buy Low/Sell High July 11th (Dave Bush/Paul Maholm)

Sorry for not having consistency in my postings int he morning. Been a very busy week and the refrigerator died this week, so I've had to run around in the mornings and nights. Hopefully after this weekend, it will be a lot more consistent and I'll be able to get more PFX work up.

Buy Low: Dave Bush

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.254

2.040

26.8%

4.96

-0.223

15.21

4.92

2007

0.324

3.05

27.76%

4.15

0.969

15.99

4.37

2006

0.289

4.37

31.75%

3.57

0.843

14.43

3.79

This might be one of my least sound but most profitable if things work out. Bush had high hopes coming into the season but he disappointed everyone so far. The last two starts he has dominated striking out 20 while walking no one and he has given up more than 1 ER only once in the last 5 starts. He has been a little lucky will the BABIP department but it doesn’t explain everything. If you’re in need of a decent #4 or #5 starter he might be the one but I wouldn’t give up anything of real value for him. Hopefully he’ll be on your waiver wire but if he isn’t, maybe you can trade him for this:

Bush, Dave SP MIL for Theriot, Ryan SS CHC

Or getting him with in a package of players. He’s only owned in 30% of CBS leagues so hopefully if you need him you can get him off the wire.

Sell High: Paul Maholm

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.294

2.290

29.0%

4.41

-0.362

14.77

4.54

2007

0.323

2.14

28.12%

4.45

0.570

14.87

4.47

2006

0.334

1.44

26.16%

4.93

-0.167

16.55

4.67

I feel that this is one of those times you can definitely sell high on him. He’s strung together a bunch of starts against weaker hitting teams and he’s lowered his ERA and WHIP as a result. He doesn’t have great strikeout numbers but you should be able to sell him off in a package right now.

Maholm, Paul SP PIT and Wolf, Randy SP SD for Zambrano, Carlos SP CHC

Beltre, Adrian 3B SEA and Maholm, Paul SP PIT for Kazmir, Scott SP TB

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