Buy Low/ Sell High July 15th (Jonathan Sanchez/Tim Wakefield)

Buy Low: Jonathan Sanchez

Key Stats:

Pitcher:	BABIP	K/BB	PTO%	qERA	ERA Dif	P/IP	FIP
Hitter:	BABIP	P/PA	BB/SO	GB/FB	HR/FB
2008	0.305	2.170	29.1%	4.12	-0.145	17.42	3.76
2007	0.374	2.210	27.86%	3.90	1.981	19.33	4.49
2006	0.306	1.43	25.20%	5.42	-0.470	18.45	4.01

Jonathan pitches for SF so he doesn’t get the respect he deserves but he has been pitching pretty well. He won’t get you points across the board but he strikes a lot of people out and his BABIP and xBABIP are exactly the same meaning that luck probably isn’t playing a part in his success. His FIP is lower than his ERA and he’s getting outs easier than before (an increasing PTO%). The only concern I have is a concern for breaking down as he’s been increasing his workload over the last couple seasons. At this point though you’re likely only going to target him for counting stats so make sure you either sell high on someone else to get him or maybe package him in a deal with someone else.

Sanchez, Jonathan O. RP SF for Hawpe, Brad RF COL

Sanchez, Jonathan O. RP SF for Ibanez, Raul LF SEA

Sanchez, Jonathan O. RP SF for Hunter, Torii CF ANA

Sell High: Tim Wakefield

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:	BABIP	K/BB	PTO%	qERA	ERA Dif	P/IP	FIP
Hitter:	BABIP	P/PA	BB/SO	GB/FB	HR/FB
2008	0.233	1.790	28.2%	5.02	-1.421	15.49	4.71
2007	0.285	1.720	27.32%	5.12	-0.364	15.24	4.58
2006	0.266	1.76	26.64%	5.05	-0.424	16.09	4.79

Tim at first glance is having a great year. An ERA under 4, a WHIP of less than 1.20 and a k/game of over 6 will fool many people. I see several problems here, most importantly though the difference between his FIP and ERA is over 1 and even worse is the difference between qERA and ERA. His BABIP is always going to be a little inconsistent due to the nature of a knuckleballer but a .233 BABIP is highly unlikely to be sustainable. Helping your cause in selling him high is the fact that he plays for the Red Sox so it could help a little more.

Renteria, Edgar SS DET and Wakefield, Tim SP BOS for Dye, Jermaine RF CHW

Wakefield, Tim SP BOS for Chamberlain, Joba RP NYY

Hardy, J.J. SS MIL and Wakefield, Tim SP BOS for Ordonez, Magglio RF DET