Wednesday, July 16, 2008

General 2nd Half Strategy

In lieu of specific recommendations today, I want to focus on general 2nd half strategies. Here are a few main ones:

  1. Your rate stats are not going to move much from here on out. For typical roto leagues, BA, OBP, ERA, WHIP are all unlikely to move very far because of the sheer amount of volume that has already been played. Therefore, points are going to be very hard to come by unless there is one big bunch that is already there. The only way for you to make a big jump in one of these categories is if a leader gets someone who suffers in one of these areas and you get someone who excels. Therefore, be careful when trading for points in one of these categories.
  2. Counting stats on the other hand are going to move. This is where you can make up a lot of ground in all of those counting categories. If you are dead last in OBP, instead of trying to trade for a better OBP, trade one of your high OBP guys (Youkilis) for someone who gets a lot of counting stats (Crawford). This will maximize your stats and give you a fighting chance.
  3. We are at the point in the season where a 6-8 week injury basically means the season. Do not hold onto the player and suck up a bench spot. Replace them because even when they get back they are less likely to be productive than before.
  4. When buying low or selling high from here on out it's important to note that we're at the point where we an start to believe the player is what he is producing. Even though Cliff Lee insanely lucky this year so far, that may just continue. Keep that in your mind when trading and even when listening to my recommendations.
  5. Finally, if you are in a keeper league, be on the lookout for sellers or buyers. For instance, if you have a Matt LaPorta or someone of that caliber, you can sell high on them for this year and maybe help you team win this year. That last place team may want to pack it in and it's up to you to scavenge the good pieces from the team.
Those are some general strategies that you need to think about from this point forward. Thanks for everyone who has read my articles so far and tomorrow the normal posts will begin again.

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