Buy Low/Sell High July 17th (Freddy Sanchez/Ryan Ludwick)
Buy Low: Freddy Sanchez
Key Stats:
| Pitcher: | BABIP | K/BB | PTO% | qERA | ERA Dif | P/IP | FIP |
| Hitter: | BABIP | P/PA | BB/SO | GB/FB | HR/FB | | |
| 2008 | 0.225 | 3.55 | 0.26 | 1.718 | 5.88% | | |
| 2007 | 0.308 | 3.39 | 0.42 | 1.323 | 6.71% | | |
| 2006 | 0.357 | 3.43 | 0.60 | 1.316 | 3.80% | | |
Freddy’s season has been rough in the average department and that is largely because of the BABIP. This is weird though because he is seeing more pitches while walking less. He is being less aggressive initially and getting a few strikes on him. Courtesy of baseball reference.com he swung at only 27% of 1st pitches while last year it was 33% and in 2006 it was 30%. He had a shoulder injury earlier in the year so I do have a slight worry that the shoulder is what is causing him to have the BABIP but it’s so much lower I expect a regression regardless.
Sanchez, Freddy 2B PIT for Looper, Braden SP STL and
Michaels, Jason LF PIT
Sanchez, Freddy 2B PIT for Buck, John C KC
Sanchez, Freddy 2B PIT for Thames, Marcus LF DET
Sell High: Ryan Ludwick
Key Stats: | Pitcher: | BABIP | K/BB | PTO% | qERA | ERA Dif | P/IP | FIP |
| Hitter: | BABIP | P/PA | BB/SO | GB/FB | HR/FB | | |
| 2008 | 0.254 | 3.78 | 0.48 | 0.711 | 25.30% | | |
| 2007 | 0.260 | 3.87 | 0.36 | 1.304 | 20.29% | | |
| 2006 | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | | |
I’m not saying it’ll be easy but now would be the time to get rid of Ludwick. He’s completely changed his GB/FB ratio and has spiked the HR/FB%. Everything else is in line with his previous career numbers. You might not be able to get as good a haul as a month ago but you can still get a decent haul in return. Another thing to remember is that he is 30 years old and may be getting that one semi-spike season. When he does regress it’s going to be quick and painful as evidenced by his June numbers.
Ludwick, Ryan OF STL for Hernandez, Felix SP SEA
Ludwick, Ryan OF STL and Ryan, B.J. RP TOR for Hamilton, Josh CF TEX
Ludwick, Ryan OF STL for Beckett, Josh SP BOS and
Guillen, Jose RF KC
2 comments:
Are you actually suggesting someone would be stupid enough to give up Hernandez or Beckett (not to mention a "throw-in" of Guillen) for Ludwick? Oh god, I hope I'm missing something...
Someone actually did give those up as those are actual trades from CBS leagues in the last 3 days. Obviously I'd rather have Hernandez or Beckett but at least those 2 people thought that Ludwick would keep it up. This is the exact thing that I mean when I say sell high. Their value right now means there is a possibility you could get that.
In my personal league, Ludwick would only get me maybe Huston Street. But depending on anyone's league it could be up to a Hernandez if they are really desparate for hitting.
Right now I wish I was in those leagues.
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