Saturday, July 19, 2008

Buy Low/Sell High July 19th (Nick Blackburn/Richie Sexson)

Buy Low: Nick Blackburn

Key Stats:

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.308

3.560

28.5%

4.37

-0.717

14.33

3.92

2007

0.405

4.000

27.47%

4.31

3.405

15.90

4.84

2006

#N/A

#N/A

#N/A

#N/A

#N/A

#N/A

#N/A

Nick’s numbers are slightly skewed by 2 bad outing where he gave up 7 ER and gave up 6 ERs. He’s very efficient with his pitches as evidenced by throwing less than 15 pitches per IP. This is generally the cut-off for being a good pitcher versus an average one. Same goes with his command being above 3, which is near elite levels. His FIP is higher than his ERA but his BABIP is right where it should be. You can probably get him pretty cheap and he’ll help you with WHIP as well as a decent amount of Ks.

Blackburn, Nick SP MIN for Bergmann, Jason SP WAS

Blackburn, Nick SP MIN for Olsen, Scott SP FLA

Blackburn, Nick SP MIN for Percival, Troy RP TB

Sell High: Richie Sexson

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:

BABIP

K/BB

PTO%

qERA

ERA Dif

P/IP

FIP

Hitter:

BABIP

P/PA

BB/SO

GB/FB

HR/FB

2008

0.194

4.03

0.49

1.796

22.45%

2007

0.175

3.73

0.51

1.670

21.65%

2006

0.232

3.95

0.42

1.386

24.29%

If you unfortunately stuck with Sexson through the thick and thin I would sell him as quickly as possible when he puts on the Yankee uniform. Many people will think he’s going to be better than what he is once he gets in a better lineup. He’s not. All of his numbers are within normal ranges for his last 3 years so it’s not like he’s been extremely unlucky. He is what he is, so get rid of him for anything possible.

Myers, Brett SP PHI and Sexson, Richie 1B SEA for Bruce, Jay CF CIN and Smith, Greg SP OAK

Sexson, Richie 1B SEA for Guillen, Jose RF KC

Sexson, Richie 1B SEA for Ross, Cody LF FLA

0 comments: