Buy Low/Sell High July 14th (Jorge Cantu/Bobby Abreu)

Buy Low: Jorge Cantu

Key Stats:

Pitcher:	BABIP	K/BB	PTO%	qERA	ERA Dif	P/IP	FIP
Hitter:	BABIP	P/PA	BB/SO	GB/FB	HR/FB
2008	0.275	3.80	0.38	1.110	18.00%
2007	0.257	3.77	0.46	1.615	3.85%
2006	0.236	3.71	0.29	1.330	13.59%

Jorge’s been swinging the bat extremely well this month and I think he’ll continue having a great bounceback season. He’s hitting almost as many FB as GB with seeing more pitches per plate appearance. To me this means a changing of approach at the plate and getting better pitches to hit. After an abysmal HR season last year, he’s rebounded quite well.

Cantu, Jorge 1B FLA for Renteria, Edgar SS DET

Cantu, Jorge 1B FLA for Danks, John SP CHW

Bourn, Michael RF HOU and Cantu, Jorge 1B FLA for
Bailey, Homer SP CIN

Sell High: Bobby Abreu

Key Stats: 

Pitcher:	BABIP	K/BB	PTO%	qERA	ERA Dif	P/IP	FIP
Hitter:	BABIP	P/PA	BB/SO	GB/FB	HR/FB
2008	0.257	4.30	0.55	1.986	14.29%
2007	0.269	4.38	0.73	1.593	11.03%
2006	0.281	4.46	0.90	1.576	12.71%

Normally you wouldn’t see someone in this section with the numbers you see above. But looking deeper, I see things that I don’t like. Every single statistic above has been worsening except for the HR/FB%. To me that means the player is in decline and you should try to get rid of him when his value is high. Right now he’s got 59 RBIs but with only 10 HR and an OPS under .800. The fact that he plays in a major market helps to overvalue him right now.

Abreu, Bobby RF NYY for Gomez, Carlos OF MIN and
Quentin, Carlos RF CHW

Abreu, Bobby RF NYY and Cantu, Jorge 1B FLA for Beckett, Josh SP BOS

Abreu, Bobby RF NYY and Pettitte, Andy SP NYY for Adenhart, Nick SP ANA and Cabrera, Miguel 3B DET